← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont1.13+2.42vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.60vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.07vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin1.25-0.77vs Predicted
-
5Princeton University0.70-0.87vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University1.03-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.42University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
-
3.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
-
3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
-
3.23University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
-
4.13Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
-
3.56Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 16.2% | 18.7% | 17.7% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 15.1% |
| Brook Wood | 15.4% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 17.8% |
| James Kopack | 22.8% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 16.8% | 14.3% | 8.7% |
| Charlie Herrick | 19.4% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 10.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 30.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 15.9% | 16.0% | 15.6% | 18.5% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.