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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.11vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.25+0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13-0.60vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-1.33vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.70-1.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.67Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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4.07Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 20.4% | 20.8% | 19.5% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% |
| Brook Wood | 15.9% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 17.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 20.4% | 19.3% | 17.8% | 17.3% | 14.9% | 10.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.9% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 18.3% | 16.8% | 13.0% |
| Boris Bialer | 14.1% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 19.7% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.3% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.