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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.69vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+1.49vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13-0.60vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.70-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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3.49Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.4University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.21University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Wood | 13.7% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 16.7% | 18.6% | 19.4% |
| Boris Bialer | 16.8% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 15.8% |
| James Kopack | 22.4% | 19.3% | 18.8% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 8.9% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.2% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 17.7% | 12.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 16.9% | 32.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 19.8% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.