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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.36vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.70+0.03vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-1.36vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.03Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.64Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 20.8% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 16.0% | 12.9% | 10.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 21.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.3% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.7% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 18.9% | 11.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 18.6% | 27.5% |
| Boris Bialer | 13.8% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 16.2% | 17.0% | 19.7% |
| Brook Wood | 14.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.