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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.25+2.23vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.03+0.50vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.37vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.79vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.70-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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3.34University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.5Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
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3.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.08Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Herrick | 19.0% | 20.3% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 11.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 18.7% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% |
| Boris Bialer | 16.4% | 15.9% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| Brook Wood | 15.3% | 14.0% | 17.4% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 17.1% |
| James Kopack | 20.2% | 19.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 12.5% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.4% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.8% | 18.0% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.