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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25+1.19vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.36vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03-0.46vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-1.25vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.70-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.19University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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3.36University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.54Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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4.06Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 21.1% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 13.0% | 10.0% |
| Charlie Herrick | 20.5% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 11.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 18.1% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 12.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 15.8% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 18.7% | 15.5% |
| Brook Wood | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 21.8% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.2% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 16.8% | 18.5% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.