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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+2.68vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.03+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.13+0.35vs Predicted
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4Princeton University0.70+0.05vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-2.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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3.48Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.35University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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4.05Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.24University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brook Wood | 13.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 18.8% | 19.2% |
| Boris Bialer | 17.0% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 16.6% |
| Cooper Smith | 18.3% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 11.9% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 28.9% |
| James Kopack | 20.4% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 12.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 19.3% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.