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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+6.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.88vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+7.01vs Predicted
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4Washington College3.65+5.35vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University4.51+0.11vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00+0.92vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+1.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.23vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.73+1.71vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.62-2.67vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-4.71vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College4.15-6.56vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.33-4.51vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.27-5.21vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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9.35Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.63Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.11Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.92College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.16Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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5.77Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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12.71Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.33Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.44SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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10.79Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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13.63Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Stokes | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Connor Needham | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Graham Landy | 12.1% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 15.8% | 24.4% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Philip Alley | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% |
| Walker Banks | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.