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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.03+2.59vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.34vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.07vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University0.70-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.25-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.59Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.34University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.22University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boris Bialer | 14.4% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 16.4% | 17.6% | 17.7% |
| Cooper Smith | 18.2% | 19.1% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.1% |
| James Kopack | 22.4% | 19.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 8.7% |
| Brook Wood | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 18.4% | 19.2% | 17.4% |
| Ossian Kamal | 10.1% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 31.6% |
| Charlie Herrick | 19.8% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.