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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.13+1.33vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+0.63vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.25-1.63vs Predicted
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6Princeton University0.70-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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3.53Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
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3.37University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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4.06Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 21.1% | 20.9% | 18.6% | 16.5% | 12.7% | 10.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 19.0% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.5% |
| Brook Wood | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 19.7% | 16.8% |
| Boris Bialer | 16.1% | 15.2% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 15.5% |
| Charlie Herrick | 17.9% | 18.6% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 15.1% | 15.0% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.0% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.