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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.25+1.18vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70+1.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97-0.37vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.03-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.13-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.18University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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4.04Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.1%1st Place
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3.63Cornell University1.030.1%1st Place
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3.42University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 21.3% | 20.2% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 10.2% |
| Charlie Herrick | 20.9% | 19.2% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 11.1% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 26.2% |
| Brook Wood | 15.0% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| Boris Bialer | 14.5% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 20.2% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.0% | 17.7% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.