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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.10vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.97+1.59vs Predicted
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3Princeton University0.70+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.13-0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.25-1.67vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.03-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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3.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.970.2%1st Place
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4.05Princeton University0.700.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Vermont1.130.2%1st Place
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3.33University of Wisconsin1.250.2%1st Place
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3.56Cornell University1.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Kopack | 20.8% | 20.8% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% |
| Brook Wood | 15.8% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 18.6% |
| Ossian Kamal | 11.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 21.4% | 26.4% |
| Cooper Smith | 17.9% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% |
| Charlie Herrick | 18.2% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 13.9% |
| Boris Bialer | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.