← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.41+1.50vs Predicted
-
2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+3.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont0.08+2.17vs Predicted
-
4University of New Hampshire0.28+0.71vs Predicted
-
5Bentley University-0.64+1.98vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72+1.20vs Predicted
-
7McGill University-0.67-0.11vs Predicted
-
8Brandeis University-0.61-1.16vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-4.80vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University-0.40-4.67vs Predicted
-
12Bates College-3.28-0.61vs Predicted
-
13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-3.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.5Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
-
5.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
-
5.17University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
-
4.71University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
-
6.98Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
-
7.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
-
6.89McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
-
6.84Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
-
5.2Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
-
6.33Northeastern University-0.400.1%1st Place
-
11.39Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
-
9.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 35.6% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Delong | 8.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Begin | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 9.5% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 1.4% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 10.7% | 1.6% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.9% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| Isaac Thompson | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 10.5% | 78.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 40.5% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.