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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.41+1.48vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.40+4.35vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire0.28+1.67vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.64+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.08-0.83vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.67-0.05vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.61-1.15vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.98vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.01-5.70vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.37vs Predicted
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13Bates College-3.28-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48Boston University1.410.3%1st Place
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6.35Northeastern University-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.67University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
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7.0Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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6.95McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
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6.85Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
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7.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.3Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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9.63Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
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11.39Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Teo | 33.8% | 27.6% | 17.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Whitman | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Marykate Hanus | 12.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 0.9% |
| William Delong | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Begin | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 8.8% | 2.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 1.6% |
| Kevin McNeill | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 9.6% | 0.7% |
| Isaac Thompson | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 39.7% | 15.8% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 10.4% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.