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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire0.28+3.77vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.08+3.21vs Predicted
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3Boston University1.41-0.52vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy-0.01+1.44vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.40+1.36vs Predicted
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6Bentley University-0.64+1.01vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.61-0.25vs Predicted
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8McGill University-0.67-1.09vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.08-3.99vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.72-2.91vs Predicted
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11Bates College-3.28+0.38vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.83-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.080.1%1st Place
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2.48Boston University1.410.4%1st Place
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5.44Maine Maritime Academy-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.36Northeastern University-0.400.1%1st Place
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7.01Bentley University-0.640.0%1st Place
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6.75Brandeis University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.91McGill University-0.670.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Vermont0.080.1%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.38Bates College-3.280.0%1st Place
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9.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marykate Hanus | 11.1% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| William Delong | 7.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Max Teo | 37.2% | 23.4% | 16.6% | 10.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isaac Thompson | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Jack Whitman | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 8.8% | 1.4% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Marguerite Deseau | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Begin | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin McNeill | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 1.9% |
| Charlotte Maffie | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 10.3% | 78.4% |
| Owen Peterson | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 41.1% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.