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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.35+1.72vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.95+3.41vs Predicted
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3Bentley University-0.39+1.09vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.70+0.84vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University-0.59-0.39vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.19+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55-0.17vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.91+1.86vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-1.86-1.33vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-2.04-1.95vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-2.75vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College-2.70-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.72Boston University0.350.3%1st Place
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5.41University of New Hampshire-0.950.1%1st Place
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4.09Bentley University-0.390.2%1st Place
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4.84McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.190.1%1st Place
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6.83University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.1%1st Place
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9.86Bates College-2.910.0%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont-1.860.0%1st Place
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8.05Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
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8.25Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.63Middlebury College-2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Rathbun | 31.1% | 23.6% | 18.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan OBrien | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| John O'Connell | 15.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Pierre Offredi | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 12.3% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| David Phipps | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Angelina Papa | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 39.8% |
| Cameron Luck | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.2% |
| Miles Laker | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 9.1% |
| Henry Donahue | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 10.0% |
| Weronika Wozny | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 22.6% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.