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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bentley University-0.39+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.95+3.44vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.35-0.30vs Predicted
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4McGill University-0.70+0.90vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.55+1.93vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont-1.86+1.73vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.91+2.81vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University-0.59-3.44vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.19-3.12vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.01-2.00vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College-2.70-1.27vs Predicted
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12Brandeis University-2.04-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Bentley University-0.390.1%1st Place
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5.44University of New Hampshire-0.950.1%1st Place
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2.7Boston University0.350.3%1st Place
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4.9McGill University-0.700.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.550.0%1st Place
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7.73University of Vermont-1.860.0%1st Place
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9.81Bates College-2.910.0%1st Place
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4.56Northeastern University-0.590.1%1st Place
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5.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.190.1%1st Place
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8.0Worcester Polytechnic Institute-2.010.0%1st Place
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9.73Middlebury College-2.700.0%1st Place
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8.13Brandeis University-2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John O'Connell | 14.4% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 7.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Buck Rathbun | 32.7% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 12.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Offredi | 9.6% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Angelina Papa | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Cameron Luck | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Wiliani | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 37.6% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 13.1% | 13.8% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Phipps | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Henry Donahue | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.8% |
| Weronika Wozny | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 23.3% | 31.8% |
| Miles Laker | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 18.5% | 14.4% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.