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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.00+6.67vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.85vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.51+2.92vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.90vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+4.73vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.61vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.65+2.30vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73+4.41vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.64vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-2.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-5.05vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.27-1.26vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College4.15-5.60vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.62-4.49vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.33-4.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46-5.89vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.85Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.9Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.73Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.3Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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12.41Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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5.95Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.74Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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7.4SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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9.51Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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10.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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13.67Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Stokes | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Bolger | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Connor Needham | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 22.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Graham Landy | 13.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Philip Alley | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 7.9% |
| Daniel Liberty | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Walker Banks | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 15.3% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.