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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+4.77vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+5.86vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.37vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+3.96vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.98vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+4.15vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston4.00+0.89vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+1.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.55-3.03vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.62-0.76vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.43+2.64vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College4.15-4.68vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.73-0.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.33-3.37vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.65-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin4.10-8.44vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.27-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.89College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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9.24Dartmouth College3.620.0%1st Place
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13.64Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.32SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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12.75Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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9.28Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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7.56University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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10.82Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Austen Anderson | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Connor Needham | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Daniel Liberty | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Graham Landy | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Bernie Roesler | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Walker Banks | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 38.4% |
| Shawn Murray | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 21.5% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 6.0% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Philip Alley | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.