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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+7.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.79+4.38vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.29+1.74vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.87+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.47+2.35vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.39+5.51vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.38+0.76vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-0.24vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.64+0.75vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.70vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.97vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.08-4.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14-1.91vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-7.39vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University1.24-3.85vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07-4.29vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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6.38Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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5.9Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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7.35University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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11.51George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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9.09Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.75University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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14.97SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.74Tulane University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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7.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.15Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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12.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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15.99University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 15.4% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Meek | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 3.6% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 22.5% | 27.7% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 5.4% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 5.3% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 6.2% |
| David Spector | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 19.7% | 49.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.