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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.87+5.14vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.79+4.36vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.38+4.96vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+0.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+7.45vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.47+1.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.54+0.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+4.25vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.01+0.15vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.32-1.85vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.39+0.60vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+0.37vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan1.64-2.62vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-6.50vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34-7.16vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.28+0.16vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College0.37-2.18vs Predicted
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18Tulane University2.08-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.36Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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9.15Fordham University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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11.6George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.37Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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7.84St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
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16.16University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
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14.82SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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8.72Tulane University2.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Meek | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reade Decker | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.5% | 15.0% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 5.9% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 5.0% |
| Lucas Thress | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 5.9% |
| Braden Vogel | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| David Spector | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 16.3% | 52.9% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 24.5% | 24.0% |
| Matheo Graham-capasso | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.