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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.32+6.99vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+5.91vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.47+4.41vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.29+0.56vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.38+2.52vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.79+0.12vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.540.00vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+4.26vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-1.51vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+2.28vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan1.64-0.55vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University1.24+0.11vs Predicted
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13George Washington University1.39-1.90vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.42-6.78vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.47vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.87-10.08vs Predicted
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17Fordham University0.81-3.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
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4.56Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.12Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
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7.0U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
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12.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
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12.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
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12.11Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
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11.1George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.22Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
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14.53SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
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5.92Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
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13.31Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
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15.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Devling | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Jensen | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McAliley | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.6% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Reade Decker | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Allgeier | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 5.9% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.4% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Diogo Silva | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.1% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 2.4% |
| Zander King | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 20.4% |
| Robby Meek | 9.9% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Owen | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.2% |
| David Spector | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 18.0% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.