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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+6.71vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+5.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.46+6.94vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College4.15+3.36vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+7.48vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont3.33+4.73vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.62+1.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.43vs Predicted
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10Yale University4.55-4.26vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.47-0.86vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.00-4.12vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-5.04vs Predicted
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14Washington College3.65-4.66vs Predicted
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15Cornell University3.27-4.26vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.51-10.05vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.43-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.460.0%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College4.150.1%1st Place
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12.48Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont3.330.0%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.17Dartmouth College3.620.1%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.74Yale University4.550.1%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.88College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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7.96Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.34Washington College3.650.0%1st Place
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10.74Cornell University3.270.0%1st Place
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5.95Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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13.69Eckerd College2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Liberty | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Shawn Murray | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 15.1% | 22.0% |
| Joseph Kelleher | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Bernie Roesler | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% |
| Austen Anderson | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% |
| Graham Landy | 12.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 4.7% |
| Samuel Stokes | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Michael Whitford | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Philip Alley | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Sydney Bolger | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Walker Banks | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 15.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.