← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.79+5.31vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.80vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.87+2.97vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.29+0.59vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.38+2.50vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.34+1.77vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.14+5.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan1.64+2.24vs Predicted
-
9University of Pennsylvania2.47-1.85vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.07+2.58vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy2.54-3.88vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College0.37+2.76vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.42-5.77vs Predicted
-
14Cornell University2.32-6.47vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University1.24-3.24vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University1.39-4.62vs Predicted
-
17Fordham University0.81-3.65vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles-0.28-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.31Stanford University2.790.1%1st Place
-
7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.1%1st Place
-
5.97Harvard University2.870.1%1st Place
-
4.59Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
-
7.5Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
-
7.77St. Mary's College of Maryland2.340.1%1st Place
-
12.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.140.0%1st Place
-
10.24University of Michigan1.640.0%1st Place
-
7.15University of Pennsylvania2.470.1%1st Place
-
12.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.070.0%1st Place
-
7.12U. S. Naval Academy2.540.1%1st Place
-
14.76SUNY Maritime College0.370.0%1st Place
-
7.23Tulane University2.420.1%1st Place
-
7.53Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
11.76Old Dominion University1.240.0%1st Place
-
11.38George Washington University1.390.0%1st Place
-
13.35Fordham University0.810.0%1st Place
-
15.8University of California at Los Angeles-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reade Decker | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Carlos LaCerda Jones | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Meek | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan Baker | 16.7% | 16.3% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jensen | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| David Vinogradov | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Braden Vogel | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Reed McAllister | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Henry Allgeier | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 25.3% |
| Zander King | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 3.5% |
| Jedidiah Bechtel | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| James Owen | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 10.0% |
| David Spector | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 19.8% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.