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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+4.21vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.08+8.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.20+3.41vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+2.39vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.77-0.38vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.32-0.84vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.82-0.31vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.37-3.19vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.27-0.22vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.23-4.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan-0.30+1.31vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College-0.06-0.22vs Predicted
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15George Washington University0.23-1.93vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.96vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00-6.45vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.21Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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10.14Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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6.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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6.16Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.69Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.78Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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6.22Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.1%1st Place
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14.31University of Michigan-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.78SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.07George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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12.04University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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12.3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.480.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodworth | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 16.7% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wood | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Strom | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Tristan McDonald | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel "Gabe" Morreale | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 33.9% |
| Luke Barker | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 24.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% |
| Mats Braaten | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Calvin Marsh | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.