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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.00+9.39vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.23+4.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.77+1.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.20+2.55vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.57+6.87vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82+2.03vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.23-0.68vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.01+5.46vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55-3.58vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.32-4.02vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University1.08-0.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.37-6.07vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.27-4.19vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College-0.06-1.05vs Predicted
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16George Washington University0.23-2.99vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60-8.40vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.52-5.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.39St. Mary's College of Maryland1.000.0%1st Place
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6.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.230.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University2.770.2%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy2.200.1%1st Place
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11.87University of Michigan0.570.0%1st Place
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8.03Cornell University1.820.1%1st Place
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6.32Roger Williams University2.230.1%1st Place
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13.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.010.0%1st Place
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5.42Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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5.98Tulane University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.5Old Dominion University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.93Harvard University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.81Fordham University1.270.0%1st Place
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13.95SUNY Maritime College-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.01George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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8.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.600.0%1st Place
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12.26University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mats Braaten | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| JJ Klempen | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Pinckney | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen MacWilliams | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Ben Visco | 0.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Gilda Dondona | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Tristan McDonald | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Finora | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 18.4% | 24.0% |
| Lucas Woodworth | 10.2% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Wood | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blake Goodwin | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.5% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shachoy | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Luke Barker | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 19.3% | 29.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| Benjamin Reeser | 4.3% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Daren Sathasivam | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.