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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.48+5.67vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.14+3.07vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40+0.34vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82-1.59vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-1.46+3.09vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.08-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.09+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-1.58+0.46vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-2.63vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.38-4.83vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.47-0.71vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-1.91-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.07Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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4.34University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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3.41Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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9.09Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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5.46Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.37Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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6.17Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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11.29Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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10.27Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Sam Childers | 9.9% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 14.7% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.9% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nithya Balachander | 23.8% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 9.8% |
| Wyatt Tait | 11.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| John McCalmont | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.4% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.4% | 13.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 47.0% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.