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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.14+4.02vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.48+4.61vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.25vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40+0.37vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.77+2.25vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82-2.56vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38-0.75vs Predicted
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8Washington University-0.08-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-1.58+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.09-1.82vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-1.46-2.02vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.91-1.70vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.61Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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4.37University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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7.25Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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3.44Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.25Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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5.53Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.18University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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8.98Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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10.3Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.37Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Childers | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 15.5% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.0% | 20.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Wyatt Tait | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 12.9% |
| John McCalmont | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 8.7% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 22.3% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 20.4% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.