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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.40+3.41vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.38+4.37vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas0.47+1.22vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.54vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.14-0.06vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.77+1.35vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.09+0.13vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-1.46+0.20vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.58-0.60vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.91-0.99vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.47-0.67vs Predicted
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13Washington University-0.08-7.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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6.37Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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3.46Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.94Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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7.35Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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6.52Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.2Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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10.01Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.33Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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5.66Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 14.6% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Greg Bittle | 16.0% | 14.2% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.3% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 11.9% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| John McCalmont | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 10.5% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 18.5% | 12.9% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 21.0% | 19.1% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 17.7% | 48.3% |
| Wyatt Tait | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.