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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.40+3.38vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+2.24vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82+0.48vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.08+1.56vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.48+1.55vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.14-1.09vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-0.38-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.09+0.17vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin-1.58+0.48vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-2.69vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.91-0.99vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.47-0.66vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-1.46-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.38University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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4.24University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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3.48Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.56Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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6.55Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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4.91Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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6.23Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.48University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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7.31Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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10.01Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.34Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
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9.34Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Zhalilo | 15.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Greg Bittle | 14.6% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.2% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Childers | 10.9% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Charles Crowell | 8.1% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| John McCalmont | 2.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 4.3% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 13.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 21.3% | 18.0% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 48.0% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.