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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+2.47vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.14+2.99vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-1.09+5.32vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas0.47+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.40-0.70vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48+0.58vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin-1.58+2.29vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38-1.76vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-1.58vs Predicted
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10Washington University-0.08-4.49vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.91-0.94vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-1.46-2.74vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.47Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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4.99Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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8.32University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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4.22University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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4.3University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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6.58Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.24Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.42Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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5.51Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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10.06Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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9.26Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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11.33Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 22.7% | 17.7% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Childers | 10.4% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| John McCalmont | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 5.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 16.1% | 14.2% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.8% | 16.5% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 17.8% | 17.5% | 12.0% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Henry | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 2.2% |
| Wyatt Tait | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 20.0% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.