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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.14+4.02vs Predicted
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2Indiana University0.82+1.48vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.38+3.39vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40+0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.83vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.48+0.54vs Predicted
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7Washington University-0.08-1.51vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-1.46+1.07vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.77-1.56vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-1.58-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.09-2.99vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.91-1.75vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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3.48Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.39Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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4.17University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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6.54Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.49Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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9.07Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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7.44Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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10.25Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.34Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Childers | 10.6% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 21.6% | 19.3% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Crowell | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 16.1% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Wyatt Tait | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.5% | 8.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 15.8% | 18.6% | 13.0% |
| John McCalmont | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 3.6% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 14.7% | 20.9% | 24.3% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.