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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University0.82+2.45vs Predicted
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2Washington University-0.08+3.59vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.14+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.40+0.33vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas0.47-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-1.58+3.38vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.48-0.49vs Predicted
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8Lake Forest College-1.46+1.05vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-0.38-2.61vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-2.66vs Predicted
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11Michigan State University-1.91-0.93vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.09-3.64vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.45Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.59Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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5.01Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Chicago0.400.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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9.38University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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6.51Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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9.05Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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6.39Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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7.34Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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10.07Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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11.36Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Balachander | 22.8% | 19.1% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sam Childers | 10.2% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Max Zhalilo | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 15.8% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 12.4% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 7.8% |
| Charles Crowell | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 20.8% | 20.2% |
| John McCalmont | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 48.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.