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📊 Prediction Accuracy
76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+5.35vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+2.24vs Predicted
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3Indiana University0.82+0.46vs Predicted
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4Washington University-0.08+1.55vs Predicted
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5Purdue University0.14-0.08vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.77+1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.40-2.71vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.48-1.46vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.09-0.75vs Predicted
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10Lake Forest College-1.46-0.85vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-1.58-1.72vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University-1.91-1.74vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Saint Thomas0.470.2%1st Place
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3.46Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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5.55Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.92Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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7.36Hope College-0.770.0%1st Place
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4.29University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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6.54Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.15Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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9.28University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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10.26Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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11.35Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Crowell | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Greg Bittle | 15.6% | 14.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 22.1% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Sam Childers | 11.8% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Henry | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 1.8% |
| Max Zhalilo | 15.7% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| John McCalmont | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 10.8% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 10.2% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 22.8% | 23.6% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.