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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.90vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+7.56vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+3.52vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.40vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.98vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+2.31vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.49+0.67vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.44-0.55vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.74+1.62vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42-2.37vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.23-2.06vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.36-4.33vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.48-1.03vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.07-4.86vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.04-1.56vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.29-3.53vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.13-3.89vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.78-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.56Brown University3.230.0%1st Place
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6.52College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.4University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.31Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.440.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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9.94Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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12.97Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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10.14Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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14.44Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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13.47Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.11Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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11.06Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Ben Spector | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Scott Houck | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Gowell | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Hunter Mumma | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.3% |
| Gary Herring | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 11.1% |
| George Saunders | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 24.7% |
| Mildred Conroy | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 17.3% |
| David Coplon | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 21.7% |
| Robert Savoie | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.