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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.14+4.03vs Predicted
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2University of Saint Thomas0.47+2.24vs Predicted
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3Washington University-0.08+2.55vs Predicted
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4Indiana University0.82-0.56vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.48+1.49vs Predicted
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6Lake Forest College-1.46+3.12vs Predicted
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7University of Chicago0.40-2.66vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-0.38-1.68vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.91+1.18vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.77-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.09-2.98vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-1.58-2.42vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-2.47-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Purdue University0.140.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Saint Thomas0.470.1%1st Place
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5.55Washington University-0.080.1%1st Place
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3.44Indiana University0.820.2%1st Place
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6.49Marquette University-0.480.1%1st Place
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9.12Lake Forest College-1.460.0%1st Place
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4.34University of Chicago0.400.2%1st Place
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6.32Northwestern University-0.380.1%1st Place
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10.18Michigan State University-1.910.0%1st Place
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7.37Hope College-0.770.1%1st Place
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8.02University of Michigan-1.090.0%1st Place
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9.58University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.32Northwestern University-2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Childers | 11.0% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Greg Bittle | 14.7% | 15.4% | 15.4% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Tait | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nithya Balachander | 23.1% | 18.2% | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Zettlemoyer | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Andrea Casagrande Caron | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 10.0% |
| Max Zhalilo | 16.6% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Crowell | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Joey Skerbeck | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 23.6% | 22.0% |
| Caroline Henry | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| John McCalmont | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.5% | 4.2% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 13.6% |
| Sean Bascoe | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 19.4% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.