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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+2.80vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-1.95+6.30vs Predicted
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3Washington University-1.65+4.57vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.20+2.33vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.40-0.79vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-1.55vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.79-1.83vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.12-1.97vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.65-4.06vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-2.05-1.50vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-2.73-1.02vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-3.25-0.80vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin-2.87-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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8.3Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.57Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.33Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.21Indiana University-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.45Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.17Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.03Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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8.5Northwestern University-2.050.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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11.2Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 18.4% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Sunny Sun | 16.5% | 16.4% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.8% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 5.8% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 17.9% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 43.0% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.7% | 21.9% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.