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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University-0.50+3.65vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.40+2.46vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.95+5.64vs Predicted
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4Hope College-1.12+2.33vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20+1.40vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79-0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.02vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago-0.18-4.11vs Predicted
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9Washington University-1.65-1.15vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.61-2.41vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-2.05-2.33vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-2.87-1.24vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.46Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.64Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.33Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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6.4Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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5.35Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.98University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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3.89University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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7.85Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.59University of Michigan-1.610.1%1st Place
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8.67Northwestern University-2.050.0%1st Place
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10.76University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.43Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nok In Chan | 13.4% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 5.7% |
| Ella Sligh | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Eli Erling | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 12.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Leavitt | 17.5% | 18.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 8.8% | 3.2% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 6.1% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 27.8% | 30.7% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 19.5% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.