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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Indiana University-0.40+3.44vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+2.69vs Predicted
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3Hope College-1.12+3.40vs Predicted
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4University of Saint Thomas-0.65+1.06vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79+0.35vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.95+2.46vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.61+0.55vs Predicted
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8Washington University-1.65-0.31vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University-2.05-0.12vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.20-3.49vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-2.87-0.43vs Predicted
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12University of Chicago-0.18-8.04vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-1.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.69Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.4Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.35Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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8.46Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Michigan-1.610.1%1st Place
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7.69Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.88Northwestern University-2.050.0%1st Place
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6.51Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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10.57University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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3.96University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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11.45Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sunny Sun | 14.9% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.5% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.9% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Eli Erling | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 6.3% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 15.3% | 8.6% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Jack Cropper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 25.3% | 27.4% |
| James Leavitt | 17.9% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 20.8% | 49.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.