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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-1.12+5.08vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+2.55vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-1.95+5.37vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.40+0.31vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.65-1.16vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.79-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-2.87+2.30vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-2.73+1.10vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-0.18-6.22vs Predicted
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11Washington University-1.65-3.67vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-2.05-3.28vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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4.55Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.37Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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4.31Indiana University-0.400.2%1st Place
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6.25Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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5.18Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.1University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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3.78University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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7.33Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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8.72Northwestern University-2.050.0%1st Place
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11.19Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Sligh | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.8% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Sunny Sun | 15.6% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 12.8% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.7% | 24.5% | 23.3% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 17.7% | 22.2% | 20.1% |
| James Leavitt | 20.1% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 7.4% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 13.5% | 21.8% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.