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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Marquette University-0.79+4.26vs Predicted
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2Indiana University-0.40+2.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-2.05+5.67vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-0.50+0.53vs Predicted
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5University of Saint Thomas-0.65-0.21vs Predicted
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6Washington University-1.65+1.46vs Predicted
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7Michigan State University-1.20-0.79vs Predicted
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8Hope College-1.12-1.95vs Predicted
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9University of Chicago-0.18-5.18vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.95-1.74vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin-2.87-0.70vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-2.73-1.83vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.25Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.67Northwestern University-2.050.0%1st Place
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4.53Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.46Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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6.21Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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6.05Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.82University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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8.26Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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11.23Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Erling | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 15.0% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Hurtado | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 11.7% | 6.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| James Leavitt | 19.5% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 21.7% | 23.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 15.9% | 24.3% | 20.0% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 42.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.