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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+2.96vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.50+2.71vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+2.12vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.40+0.51vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University-1.95+3.57vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.79-0.60vs Predicted
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7Washington University-1.65+0.74vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin-2.87+2.62vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.61-1.23vs Predicted
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10Michigan State University-1.20-3.44vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-3.25+0.32vs Predicted
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12Hope College-1.12-5.50vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.76-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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4.71Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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4.51Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.57Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.4Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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7.74Washington University-1.650.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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7.77University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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6.56Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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11.32Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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6.5Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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8.22Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 18.8% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 12.4% | 14.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.1% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 8.0% |
| Eli Erling | 10.2% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jacob Hsia | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 24.2% | 31.0% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 8.8% | 3.5% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 21.3% | 46.3% |
| Ella Sligh | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.