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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago-0.18+2.97vs Predicted
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2Marquette University-0.79+3.51vs Predicted
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3University of Saint Thomas-0.65+2.14vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan-1.61+3.75vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-0.40-0.58vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-1.37vs Predicted
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7Hope College-1.12-0.73vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.95+0.62vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University-1.20-2.32vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-2.87+0.69vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-1.76-3.07vs Predicted
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12Lake Forest College-3.25-0.58vs Predicted
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13Washington University-1.65-5.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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5.51Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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5.14University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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7.75University of Michigan-1.610.0%1st Place
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4.42Indiana University-0.400.2%1st Place
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4.63Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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6.27Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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8.62Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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6.68Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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7.93Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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11.42Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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7.98Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 19.8% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eli Erling | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Calistoga Frerker | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.8% |
| Sunny Sun | 15.6% | 16.3% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 13.6% | 15.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ella Sligh | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 2.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 28.1% | 30.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 20.9% | 49.3% |
| Jacob Hsia | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.