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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-1.12+5.13vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago-0.18+1.83vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.40+1.32vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University-1.95+4.40vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.79+0.26vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-0.50-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Saint Thomas-0.65-2.16vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University-1.20-1.74vs Predicted
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9Washington University-1.65-1.41vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin-2.87+0.43vs Predicted
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11Lake Forest College-3.25+0.11vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-2.73-1.71vs Predicted
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13Northwestern University-1.76-4.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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4.32Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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8.4Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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5.26Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.52Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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4.84University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.26Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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7.59Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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10.43University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.11Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
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10.29University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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8.02Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Sligh | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| James Leavitt | 19.7% | 17.5% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.2% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 10.7% | 4.9% |
| Eli Erling | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Nok In Chan | 15.0% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Dodge | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 22.5% | 26.1% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 21.0% | 39.5% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 23.2% | 22.1% |
| Luke Sadalla | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.