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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.05+8.50vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.10+6.20vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.09+2.46vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.96+2.35vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.77+0.71vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.60+1.68vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.42+0.60vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.51+0.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.82+1.67vs Predicted
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10Fordham University0.71+2.23vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.26+1.22vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.17-2.96vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.91-2.19vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University0.97-4.35vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-4.14vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin0.70-4.51vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.14-8.37vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.43-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5University of Hawaii1.054.7%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.107.0%1st Place
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5.46Boston College2.0913.5%1st Place
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6.35Cornell University1.9610.4%1st Place
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5.71University of Pennsylvania1.7711.8%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.608.0%1st Place
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7.6Stanford University1.427.2%1st Place
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8.39Bowdoin College1.516.2%1st Place
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10.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.822.9%1st Place
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12.23Fordham University0.712.4%1st Place
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12.22North Carolina State University0.262.8%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College1.175.0%1st Place
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10.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.912.5%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University0.975.0%1st Place
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10.86St. Mary's College of Maryland0.672.9%1st Place
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11.49University of Wisconsin0.702.2%1st Place
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8.63Boston University1.144.9%1st Place
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16.52University of Texas-1.430.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Cordelia Burn | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.5% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Segalla | 11.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Alice Schmid | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Karya Basaraner | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Lizzie Cochran | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 7.5% |
| Evelyn Hannah | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 7.3% |
| Charlotte West | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Starck | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 2.8% |
| Gianna Dewey | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 3.4% |
| Mary Castellini | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 4.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophia Herrada | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 65.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.