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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology2.75+2.19vs Predicted
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2Princeton University2.90+0.98vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.63-0.89vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College2.88-0.93vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.52-0.14vs Predicted
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6Penn State University0.21+0.24vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University0.80-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Stevens Institute of Technology2.750.2%1st Place
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2.98Princeton University2.900.2%1st Place
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2.11University of Pennsylvania3.630.4%1st Place
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3.07Ocean County College2.880.2%1st Place
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4.86Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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6.24Penn State University0.210.0%1st Place
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5.54Rutgers University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerard Tonachel | 17.2% | 18.8% | 21.2% | 21.4% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Allison Tracy | 19.3% | 21.6% | 20.8% | 23.3% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Halsey Richartz | 38.2% | 29.8% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Kennedy | 17.8% | 20.2% | 21.8% | 22.3% | 13.7% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.7% | 5.4% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 30.8% | 25.7% | 11.8% |
| Jarrett Scherrer | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 9.7% | 23.7% | 58.4% |
| Ross Nuechterlein | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 16.7% | 37.7% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.