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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas-0.65+3.98vs Predicted
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2Hope College-1.12+4.15vs Predicted
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3University of Chicago-0.18+0.84vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.79+1.29vs Predicted
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5Michigan State University-1.20+1.25vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-0.40-1.74vs Predicted
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7Purdue University-0.50-2.46vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.95+0.32vs Predicted
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9Washington University-1.65-1.36vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University-1.76-2.21vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-2.73-0.92vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin-2.87-1.40vs Predicted
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13Lake Forest College-3.25-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of Saint Thomas-0.650.1%1st Place
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6.15Hope College-1.120.1%1st Place
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3.84University of Chicago-0.180.2%1st Place
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5.29Marquette University-0.790.1%1st Place
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6.25Michigan State University-1.200.1%1st Place
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4.26Indiana University-0.400.1%1st Place
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4.54Purdue University-0.500.1%1st Place
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8.32Northwestern University-1.950.0%1st Place
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7.64Washington University-1.650.0%1st Place
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7.79Northwestern University-1.760.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Michigan-2.730.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Wisconsin-2.870.0%1st Place
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11.27Lake Forest College-3.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakesh Dhiman | 11.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Sligh | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| James Leavitt | 18.9% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eli Erling | 10.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Dodge | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Sunny Sun | 14.9% | 16.9% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nok In Chan | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 3.8% |
| Jacob Hsia | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Luke Sadalla | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 21.7% | 17.9% |
| Jack Cropper | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 15.3% | 23.9% | 27.3% |
| Van Baghdasaryan | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 21.1% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.