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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.44+7.87vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.49+6.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.23+6.83vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.02vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10+1.33vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.42+2.88vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+2.49vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin3.36+1.40vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.95-2.40vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-1.51vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.60-2.99vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.29+2.08vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.78-1.50vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.13+0.35vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.07-4.66vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.74-4.22vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.04-2.52vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.48-5.17vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.30-9.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.87Georgetown University3.440.0%1st Place
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8.68Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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9.83Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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6.33Yale University4.100.1%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.420.1%1st Place
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9.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Wisconsin3.360.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.49University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.01SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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14.08Washington College2.290.0%1st Place
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11.5Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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14.35Columbia University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.34Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.740.0%1st Place
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14.48Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.83Cornell University2.480.0%1st Place
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9.01Old Dominion University3.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Gowell | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Herring | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Ben Spector | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Mildred Conroy | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| David Coplon | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 22.3% |
| George Saunders | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Hunter Mumma | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.9% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 25.2% |
| Alden Sonnenfeldt | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.