Race 1A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Enzo Menditto 14.6% 15.6% 13.7% 12.7% 9.9% 9.0% 6.5% 5.2% 4.6% 3.7% 2.7% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Gus Macaulay 6.9% 9.0% 8.6% 7.6% 7.9% 9.1% 8.5% 9.5% 9.6% 8.1% 5.7% 5.8% 2.6% 1.1%
Sidney Moyer 5.2% 5.0% 5.2% 6.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.0% 7.6% 9.7% 8.0% 11.0% 10.6% 8.6% 3.4%
Alex Lech 10.0% 11.8% 9.7% 11.8% 10.2% 10.3% 8.2% 8.1% 6.0% 6.5% 3.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.3%
Elliott Mendenhall 3.5% 5.0% 5.1% 6.0% 6.1% 6.8% 8.3% 6.6% 9.1% 8.0% 10.9% 10.2% 10.4% 4.0%
Calvin Schmid 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.4% 9.5% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.8% 4.3% 1.0%
William Kulas 9.6% 9.7% 9.9% 9.8% 9.9% 8.2% 8.8% 8.5% 7.8% 7.2% 4.4% 3.6% 1.7% 0.9%
Carter Anderson 3.9% 2.7% 3.5% 4.4% 3.7% 4.5% 5.8% 5.3% 5.9% 9.4% 9.8% 13.2% 16.5% 11.4%
Olivia Lowthian 5.3% 3.7% 5.0% 5.9% 6.1% 6.7% 9.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.9% 11.0% 9.9% 7.7% 3.0%
Connor McHugh 8.0% 7.1% 8.4% 7.6% 9.8% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 9.8% 7.5% 7.4% 4.2% 2.8% 0.8%
Tyler Lamm 18.6% 16.0% 14.2% 10.6% 11.2% 7.9% 8.2% 5.6% 2.7% 2.0% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Kiana Beachy 3.3% 2.8% 3.9% 3.2% 3.9% 6.3% 5.4% 7.3% 9.9% 9.7% 9.3% 11.6% 15.3% 8.1%
Caylin Schnoor 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 3.2% 4.8% 6.1% 5.6% 7.8% 6.9% 9.4% 10.9% 11.7% 14.9% 6.8%
Greta Shuster 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 1.2% 1.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.1% 4.6% 8.1% 13.5% 59.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.