Race 2A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tyler Lamm 20.5% 16.3% 14.9% 10.7% 9.7% 8.7% 5.9% 4.5% 3.4% 2.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor McHugh 8.1% 9.9% 9.4% 7.8% 8.0% 9.2% 9.7% 9.3% 8.8% 7.7% 5.0% 3.5% 2.8% 0.8%
Sidney Moyer 5.1% 4.8% 6.2% 5.1% 7.2% 4.9% 6.7% 8.1% 9.2% 9.5% 9.9% 10.2% 9.9% 3.2%
Calvin Schmid 5.6% 8.5% 8.7% 9.2% 8.4% 8.8% 10.4% 7.8% 8.3% 8.0% 6.6% 5.6% 3.3% 0.8%
Alex Lech 9.4% 11.4% 10.4% 11.6% 9.3% 10.3% 9.1% 7.5% 7.1% 5.7% 3.8% 2.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Enzo Menditto 14.5% 12.4% 14.5% 11.8% 11.8% 9.1% 6.5% 7.6% 4.1% 3.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Olivia Lowthian 6.1% 6.6% 5.5% 6.2% 6.0% 7.1% 7.3% 8.7% 7.7% 8.7% 9.9% 10.0% 8.0% 2.2%
Kiana Beachy 3.6% 3.5% 3.8% 4.8% 4.5% 4.1% 6.4% 6.9% 7.1% 8.4% 9.1% 13.0% 14.9% 9.9%
Elliott Mendenhall 4.8% 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 5.8% 6.6% 8.7% 7.0% 10.3% 8.4% 12.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.1%
Gus Macaulay 7.0% 6.8% 6.3% 8.3% 9.2% 8.8% 9.2% 8.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.2% 6.0% 3.2% 1.0%
Caylin Schnoor 2.9% 3.3% 3.4% 4.1% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 6.4% 7.8% 8.3% 12.1% 12.5% 14.1% 7.8%
William Kulas 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 10.6% 9.4% 11.1% 7.3% 8.9% 8.2% 6.0% 5.7% 3.7% 2.9% 0.5%
Carter Anderson 3.4% 3.2% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 4.4% 4.7% 6.6% 7.2% 10.6% 8.9% 13.1% 18.2% 8.5%
Greta Shuster 0.5% 1.0% 0.7% 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.1% 4.1% 5.0% 6.4% 12.6% 60.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.