Race 3A

savin-hill-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elliott Mendenhall 4.7% 5.0% 3.9% 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.1% 6.7% 10.6% 9.3% 10.5% 8.2% 8.6% 4.1%
Carter Anderson 2.7% 3.0% 4.2% 3.7% 5.0% 4.8% 5.6% 5.8% 7.7% 8.1% 10.5% 12.8% 18.3% 7.8%
Sidney Moyer 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 5.6% 6.5% 6.0% 5.5% 9.0% 9.7% 8.3% 9.5% 10.8% 9.0% 3.7%
Tyler Lamm 17.2% 16.4% 16.0% 12.5% 10.1% 7.5% 7.8% 4.1% 4.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Connor McHugh 6.3% 8.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.1% 9.1% 8.3% 8.6% 8.4% 8.0% 6.6% 4.6% 3.0% 1.0%
Caylin Schnoor 3.2% 3.7% 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 4.3% 6.1% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.3% 14.1% 13.2% 9.0%
Enzo Menditto 18.5% 14.0% 12.7% 12.0% 9.3% 9.9% 7.8% 5.4% 4.7% 2.8% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
William Kulas 9.0% 10.5% 8.0% 10.5% 7.8% 10.1% 8.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.4% 6.0% 4.3% 3.1% 0.5%
Calvin Schmid 8.5% 5.4% 7.9% 8.2% 8.5% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 8.9% 8.6% 6.5% 5.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Olivia Lowthian 4.5% 3.8% 4.4% 6.3% 7.7% 7.3% 8.3% 8.9% 6.9% 8.8% 11.4% 10.8% 7.7% 3.2%
Gus Macaulay 6.6% 6.9% 9.1% 6.7% 8.0% 8.0% 9.4% 9.8% 9.4% 7.1% 7.2% 5.9% 4.9% 1.0%
Alex Lech 10.0% 12.6% 10.3% 10.6% 10.9% 9.3% 8.9% 8.5% 6.0% 5.2% 2.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Kiana Beachy 3.1% 4.1% 4.1% 3.8% 4.5% 4.6% 5.5% 6.9% 6.8% 11.1% 10.7% 10.9% 16.7% 7.2%
Greta Shuster 0.7% 0.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 4.3% 4.7% 7.1% 11.3% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.